The Future Of Work – Who’s Holding The Cards?

by David Danto

In the high-stakes poker game of the modern workplace, where hybrid models and return-to-office debates are as hot as the latest internet fad, let’s meet the players holding the cards in the game of remote, return, or hybrid. Will your Royal Flush be the winning hand, or are you just the Mark?

Ten: The Accountant

Meet the Ten, the numbers guy, often your CFO. He’s crunching digits like the judges on Jeopardy. When it comes to shedding leases and cutting real estate costs, he’s all in, like a contestant on Deal or No Deal. However, he worries when the plot thickens: municipalities might pull those sweet tax abatements due to lower occupancy levels. Cities offered these deals expecting bustling business districts, not ghost towns.

For the Ten, it’s a financial balancing act. On one hand, reducing overhead by letting go of office space saves millions. On the other, losing tax breaks and facing potential penalties could put a serious dent in those savings. This accountant is caught between a rock and a hard place, with no slide rule up to the task of solving this equation.

Jack: The Jack of All Trades

Say hello to the Jack, your office know-it-all. He (or she) was the one insisting on “densification” in the early 2000s and “hoteling” now. He’s the guy or gal ensuring no private offices for less than senior staff, no personal mobile devices will be reimbursed, no stipends will be provided for remote offices, etc. …essentially you name a fad and he or she is the expert in it. Jack is the first to push the latest experimental office policy or tech fad, like driving data to the cloud before it was secure, spending big on immersive telepresence rooms that are now museum pieces, and hawking the drive to let generative AI speak directly to the customers.

The Jack thrives on trends, from open-office layouts to gourmet cafeterias. But sometimes, he’s just spinning wheels. He’ll never realize that installing rooms with tables that face the walls instead of the people in the room didn’t work in 2007 and probably won’t work today — unless you consider gathering dust like unused gym memberships “working.” Jack is the quintessential trend-chaser, ensuring the office and its teams are hip, and win the buzzword-bingo contests instead of his firm’s market share.

Queen: The Queen of Mandates

Enter the Queen, ruling with an iron fist—or at least trying to. Picture the return-to-office czar, waving her scepter and declaring, “Return or miss promotions!” Take Dell as a prime example. They issued a royal decree: come back to the office, or your career growth is at risk.

But here’s the rub: many employees at Dell and other places don’t care. Data shows that even with mandates, office attendance is low. Workers are calling the Queen’s bluff, and the return-to-office edicts are about as effective as a paper umbrella in a storm. After all, the “earn the commute” expression didn’t come from nowhere. The Queen’s court isn’t as full as she’d like, proving that her mandates are as obsolete as Windows XP.

King: The CEO

Ah, the King. The big cheese, the head honcho. Our CEO sees his employees as loyal subjects, ruling over his kingdom from the corner office. But when his minions are scattered in home offices, coffee shops, and who-knows-where, his crown feels a little too loose. How can he wield power when the serfs aren’t in their cubicles?

In his mind, remote work diminishes his empire’s grandeur. He’s more Prince John than King Arthur, longing for the days when a full office equaled control. A recent survey showed that 65% of CEOs want their people back in the office three days a week or more, despite mounting evidence that remote work boosts productivity and employee satisfaction. The King’s reign feels threatened without the tangible sign of his power: a bustling office.

Ace: The Employee

Finally, the Ace—the employee who’s the real MVP. They know their work inside out, and are respected and loved by all – except, of course, the King and the Ten. Those leaders view the Ace as an expensive relic, pondering why they need one Ace when they could have multiple less-experienced twos and threes for the same cost.

This move, often disguised as a “reduction in force,” aims to cut costs by reducing the median age of the office staff, but instead ends up eroding institutional knowledge. The Aces, often the glue holding teams together, find themselves on the chopping block in a corporate version of Survivor. It’s a gamble that could cost companies dearly in the long run, as they trade experience for an incorrectly perceived short-term bottom-line boost. The rest of the deck is watching the treatment of Aces and waiting for the next booming economy to jump ship as quickly as you can say ‘The King and the Ten killed the corporate culture.’

But Wait, There’s More – The Joker: External Influencers

Just when you thought you had accounted for all the cards, cue the Joker, the jester of the deck. Business publications and cable channels insist that companies with traditional office workers are the only ones succeeding. They’re like a broken record stuck in the ‘80s, while companies like Nvidia laugh all the way to the bank with their flexible work policies. The Jokers spin tales that only brick-and-mortar offices bring success, all while sipping cocktails at real estate mixers.

The truth? There is no one-size-fits-all and everyone knows that now. RTO is working for some, while many remote-first companies are also thriving – reporting higher profits and happier employees. But the Joker’s narrative caters to the old guard, perpetuating myths that only offices equal productivity. It’s the media equivalent of still hoping gullible viewers will believe that Blockbuster will make a comeback. If I’m the first person to let you know that you shouldn’t listen to the Jokers then you haven’t been in the game long enough to win. The Joker has his own agenda and it’s not the same as yours.

Are You All In To Win Your Space, Or Being Set-Up By Bad Cards?

In this RTO poker game, everyone’s holding their cards close, and the stakes couldn’t be higher. Will the King reclaim his throne with a full office? Can the Ten balance the books without losing vital tax breaks? Is the Joker’s old-school narrative finally losing its audience? Will the Queen’s mandates hold any power, and can the Jack’s trendy decisions withstand the test of time? Most importantly, will the Ace continue to be undervalued, or will companies realize their true worth?

In the ever-evolving world of the future of work, it’s anyone’s game, but remember – sometimes a wild card (like a pandemic) comes along that can significantly change the game. Experienced players are always prepared for an unexpected wild card. And just like in any good poker game, the real winner might just be the one you least expect.

Look around the table and try to figure out who the Mark is. If you can’t tell…maybe the Joker is trying to make that your role so he or she can sell you more worthless advice.